Global Risk Overview
Composite view of civilizational stress factors across technological, environmental, demographic, and social dimensions. Each index aggregates multiple underlying indicators normalized to a 0–100 severity scale.
Composite Risk Indices Over Time
Aggregated from SIPRI, NOAA, UN, World Bank, Pew ResearchRisk Domain Radar — 2025
Normalized composite scores by domainRegional Risk Comparison
2025 composite scores by world regionRisk Acceleration (Rate of Change)
10-year annualized change in index valuesCross-Domain Correlation Matrix
Pearson r between risk indices, 1990–2025Technological Risk
Tracking global military expenditure, nuclear arsenals, autonomous weapons development, and emerging dual-use technologies. Data from SIPRI, FAS, IISS, and national defense ministries.
Global Military Expenditure (Constant 2022 USD)
Source: SIPRI Military Expenditure DatabaseNuclear Warhead Inventories
Source: Federation of American Scientists / SIPRIMilitary Spending by Region (% of Global)
Source: SIPRI 2024Top 10 Military Spenders (2024)
Source: SIPRI, constant 2022 USD billionsAutonomous Weapons & Military AI Development Timeline
Source: IISS, CNAS, national defense publicationsActive Armed Conflicts by Type
Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP)Environmental Stress
Monitoring atmospheric CO₂, temperature anomalies, pollution, and biodiversity loss. Data from NOAA, NASA GISS, WHO, IUCN, and the Global Carbon Project.
Atmospheric CO₂ Concentration (Mauna Loa)
Source: NOAA Global Monitoring LaboratoryGlobal Temperature Anomaly (°C vs 1850–1900)
Source: NASA GISS / HadCRUT5Global CO₂ Emissions by Region
Source: Global Carbon ProjectBiodiversity: Living Planet Index
Source: WWF / ZSL Living Planet ReportAir Quality: PM2.5 by Region (μg/m³)
Source: WHO Global Ambient Air Quality DatabaseOcean Health: Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
Source: NOAA OISSTDemographic Change
Fertility decline, aging populations, migration flows, and urban demographic transitions. Data from UN Population Division, Eurostat, OECD, and national statistical offices. Demographic data on ethnic composition is drawn from official census sources where available.
Total Fertility Rate by Region
Source: UN World Population Prospects 2024International Migration Stock (Millions)
Source: UN DESA International MigrationPopulation Projections — Selected European Countries
Source: UN Population Division / EurostatOld-Age Dependency Ratio (65+ per 100 working-age)
Source: UN / World BankForeign-Born Population Share — Major Cities
Source: Eurostat, OECD, national census dataNet Migration Rate — Selected Countries
Source: UN / World Bank (per 1,000 population)Social Cohesion
Measuring institutional trust, political polarization, civil unrest, and indicators of social fragmentation. Data from Pew Research, Edelman Trust Barometer, V-Dem, ACLED, and national surveys.
Institutional Trust Over Time (% Trust)
Source: Edelman Trust Barometer / Pew ResearchPolitical Polarization — Selected Democracies
Source: V-Dem Political Polarization IndexCivil Unrest Events by Region
Source: ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data)Liberal Democracy Index Trend
Source: V-Dem InstituteIncome Inequality (Gini Coefficient)
Source: World Bank / OECDMedia Trust & Information Environment
Source: Reuters Institute Digital News ReportSystemic Future Pressures
Examining how technological, environmental, and demographic stressors converge to create compounding risks. This section integrates cross-domain indicators to identify potential cascading failure points in global systems.